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- By Albert Crane MD
- 13 Sep 2026
Cyclone the storm is forecast to strengthen into a rare Category 5 storm as it turns toward the Caribbean island, causing deadly sudden floods and rock falls.
The hurricane, which had wind speeds of up to 195 km/h as of 0600 Greenwich Mean Time, is currently turning north-west in the Caribbean and is anticipated to make landfall by early next week, based on data from meteorological authorities.
Warnings of blackouts and damage to infrastructure have been released as the hurricane generates up to thirty inches of precipitation and storm surges as high as 4m above normal levels. "Find safe refuge immediately," locals have been advised.
Melissa is the 13th cyclone in the current Atlantic storm period, which normally finishes in late autumn.
A Category 5 hurricane is the strongest type, with winds of at least 157mph.
Although this storm is set to weaken to a Category 4 cyclone before reaching the island, experts said there was "almost no noticeable change in the overall impacts" upon landfall, and that the cyclone will be "at least that intensity" when it hits the nation.
With tropical storm-level gusts and precipitation anticipated well in advance ahead of it crosses the island's interior - possibly even the city of Kingston - alerts emphasize that "readiness efforts must be accelerated".
"Several days of destructive gusts and heavy rainfall are underway and will cause devastating and dangerous rapid water accumulation and numerous landslides," advised meteorological officials.
The nation's leader the statesman said: "I understand that there are countless citizens who are worried, who are extremely apprehensive, and with good reason: concern is justified.
"But the best way to manage nervousness and any apprehension and worry is to be prepared."
Residents are being instructed to secure their homes with protective bags and plywood sheets, and to gather basic necessities.
Alerts are also in effect for regions of Haiti encompassing the main city, Port au Prince, the Dominican Republic and Cuba's eastern region, where this storm is anticipated to bring comparable impacts by the middle portion of the coming week.
Rock slides currently triggered by the cyclone have caused two deaths in Haiti, according to local authorities.
The hurricane is predicted to pass over Cuba by the middle of the week before moving through the Caribbean archipelago and emerging into the Atlantic.
By the point it arrives at the Caribbean nation, it is forecast to have weakened to a category three storm.
While it is challenging to link particular meteorological occurrences to environmental shifts, experts say it is making climate patterns more common and more severe.
Increased sea temperatures generate more moisture in the environment, contributing to the development of hurricanes.
Before the beginning of this year's Atlantic storm period, weather organizations forecast increased storm frequency, referencing warmer seas and likely stronger monsoon activity around African coastal regions - where hurricanes frequently develop.
A tech strategist with over a decade in AI implementation and digital transformation projects across various industries.